Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.469774 0.512607 0.559214 0.613982 0.676953 0.747542 0.833301
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.391100 0.452900 0.526464 0.622007 0.745162 0.902042 1.123067
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.332607 0.401922 0.490065 0.613793 0.789063 1.039115 1.445699
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.301321 0.377249 0.479379 0.632985 0.870687 1.250485 1.972652
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.267643 0.343341 0.449236 0.616667 0.893686 1.378415 2.435120
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.237520 0.309993 0.414268 0.585305 0.883049 1.443128 2.815714
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.213820 0.282949 0.384704 0.556756 0.869476 1.496492 3.212126
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.203215 0.273712 0.380578 0.568648 0.931083 1.726477 4.303125
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.198408 0.272448 0.388391 0.601895 1.042595 2.124588 6.558754
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.188453 0.262170 0.380193 0.604500 1.090988 2.391911 8.921294
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.176920 0.248390 0.364624 0.590612 1.098949 2.550568 11.215476
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.167023 0.236470 0.351057 0.578615 1.108565 2.723222 14.372456
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.158333 0.226295 0.340284 0.572234 1.134854 2.990184 20.396506
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.151536 0.218886 0.333955 0.574722 1.187313 3.414408 34.214342
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.143757 0.209297 0.322836 0.565505 1.206378 3.730192 55.536592
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.139965 0.206173 0.323266 0.581708 1.304941 4.554269 172.304523
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.132786 0.196707 0.310897 0.566954 1.304774 4.861374 402.034038
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.124699 0.185203 0.293787 0.539054 1.255473 4.827456 672.854624
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.117511 0.174929 0.278401 0.513658 1.209372 4.787829 1264.782196
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.114846 0.172487 0.278025 0.524205 1.288784 5.764256 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.114256 0.173679 0.284879 0.553671 1.449476 7.880328 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.111007 0.169847 0.281269 0.555973 1.509150 9.286636 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.106638 0.163731 0.272537 0.543673 1.505575 9.961725 NaN